Page 9 of 10 FirstFirst ... 78910 LastLast
Results 201 to 225 of 231

Thread: Hurricane Flossie

  1. #201
    Join Date
    Apr 2004
    Location
    Honolulu, Hawaii USA
    Posts
    5,252

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by anapuni808 View Post
    You all seem so disappointed that disaster didn't hit the Big Island. Did you stop to think how pathetic that is? Be grateful that many of our friends are OK and things are fine.
    How can you make such a blanket statement? I certainly don't want anything bad to happen to people on the Big Island or anywhere in the state. I have family and friends there who I contacted several times today to get reports on what was happening. I was happy to hear them say "nothing happening" and in relation to Hurricane Flossie, that is indeed good news.

    And yes, we are still totally not out of the woods yet. But at this time things are looking really good that we mostly dodged a major bullet here.

    Just for the record, here is the 11:00 bulletin:

    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE ADVISORY NUMBER 27
    NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007
    1100 PM HST TUE AUG 14 2007

    ...THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

    ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...

    AT 1100 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.4 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HILO...HAWAII AND ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU.

    FLOSSIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
    I'm still here. Are you?

  2. #202

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE DISCUSSION NUMBER 27
    NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007
    1100 PM HST TUE AUG 14 2007

    STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR IS NOW TEARING FLOSSIE APART.

    HURRICANE FLOSSIE SURPRISED US BY MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH AS LONG AS IT DID...BUT THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND IS NOW DOWN TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH.
    AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE SHOWED THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAD RISEN TO 993 MB AT 0513 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED THE TOPS OF THE SYSTEM SHEARING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD CENTER IS NOW EMERGING ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THE HIGH CLOUDS. WITH STRONG SHEAR CONTINUING OVER FLOSSIE WE ARE FORECASTING STEADY WEAKENING WITH ONLY A REMNANT LOW REMAINING BY 120 HOURS.


    Looking at the graphic representation, as far as winds, I'd say it's over. It's no longer a hurricane, the winds are weaker. The >39MPH winds are no longer touching the BI. And it's shifted south. I'm sure the Tropical Storm Warning will be canceled shortly.

    Wish I could see the picture as far as rain.

  3. #203

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    <yawn> Tuned in to the Weather Channel this morning at 6:30 a.m. Pacific (3:30 a.m. your time...I only got 3 hours' sleep because of that danged cup of white chocolate mocha I had last night at around 7 p.m.!) and the reporter, who was in Naalehu, really looked like he could have been standing anywhere in the world in the dark...there was no wind, no rain, no nothing. So I guess the Big Island was spared this time.

    But I bet there are some really "killah" waves on all the South Shore beaches in the 'aina today!

    Craig: I wonder how many returns you guys are going to have to process over the next couple of days from people returning all their disaster supplies?

    Miulang
    "Americans believe in three freedoms. Freedom of speech; freedom of religion; and the freedom to deny the other two to folks they don`t like. --Mark Twain

  4. #204
    Join Date
    Jun 2005
    Location
    Western Washington
    Posts
    207

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    yep, the weather service said hawaii dodged a bullet. thank god!

  5. #205

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by Lalalinder View Post
    yep, the weather service said hawaii dodged a bullet. thank god!
    Thank God! I was getting really worried when I saw it as a Category 3-4 heading toward the Big Island.

    And that's the story of the hurricane. The storm the authorities came to blame!
    Last edited by Vanguard; August 15th, 2007 at 06:43 AM.

  6. #206
    Join Date
    Apr 2004
    Location
    Honolulu, Hawaii USA
    Posts
    5,252

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Bulletin #28 from NOAA Hawaii.

    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE ADVISORY NUMBER 28
    NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007
    500 AM HST WED AUG 15 2007

    ...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

    AT 500 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 157.9 WEST OR ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...HAWAII.

    FLOSSIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

    REPEATING THE 500 AM HST POSITION...17.4 N...157.9 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

    THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM HST.
    Can we declare this thing just about over?
    I'm still here. Are you?

  7. #207
    Join Date
    Apr 2004
    Location
    Honolulu, HI, USA
    Posts
    7,326

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Still, sticky, and humid in Central O'ahu. But I guess I'll take it over blackouts, flooding, and gale-force winds. It's interesting to watch how quickly Flossie disintegrated. But it sure held on longer than earlier forecasts predicted.

  8. #208

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by LikaNui View Post
    (and gosh, I wish they'd stop typing in all caps!)
    A holdover from the days of TeleType, the noisy old banging machines that only used upper-case letters.
    Quote Originally Posted by mel View Post
    Can we declare this thing just about over?
    That's good. Yeah, it's a lot of hassle to prep for something that fizzled out - but certainly preferable to many of the alternatives (little-to-no prep and/or loss of life and property.) Glad to hear that you can start winding back down from this one.

  9. #209
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Location
    New to Leeward O'ahu
    Posts
    86

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by Vanguard View Post
    And that's the story of the hurricane. The storm the authorities came to blame!
    For somethin that it almost done.
    Put in a prison cell, but one time it could-a been
    The wrecker of the world.

  10. #210

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    If there can be a "good" thing about hurricanes, it's that thanks to the weather satellites and as imperfect as the meterologists still are at prognostication, we at least have some advance warning so we can prepare for the bad weather. The same thing can't be said about earthquakes, so the best thing to do is to be prepared in advance for these acts of God.

    Miulang
    "Americans believe in three freedoms. Freedom of speech; freedom of religion; and the freedom to deny the other two to folks they don`t like. --Mark Twain

  11. #211
    Join Date
    May 2004
    Location
    Smokin' in da windward crib
    Posts
    6,721

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by anapuni808 View Post
    You all seem so disappointed that disaster didn't hit the Big Island. Did you stop to think how pathetic that is?
    What?! I didn't see any "disappointment" whatsoever. You'll need to point us specifically to whichever posts you're referring to.
    And while it looks like we're safe, I'd recommend waiting a couple of more days before claiming we're 100% safe. Hurricanes are historically unpredictable and many of them have re-formed after initially falling apart... kinda like this satellite loop image from just a few minutes ago, which clearly does show some re-forming of Flossie. (Look for the darker colors expanding.)
    And that's happening exactly where the sea temp graphic shows warmer water.
    Cautious optimism. That's what I'm feeling.

    .
    .

    That's my story, and I'm sticking to it.

  12. #212
    Join Date
    May 2004
    Location
    Smokin' in da windward crib
    Posts
    6,721

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by pzarquon View Post
    It's interesting to watch how quickly Flossie disintegrated.
    Look at that link again, as it also shows the dark red re-forming, as I just said in my reply above this one.
    .
    .

    That's my story, and I'm sticking to it.

  13. #213

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by LikaNui View Post
    Hurricanes are historically unpredictable and many of them have re-formed after initially falling apart... kinda like this satellite loop image from just a few minutes ago, which clearly does show some re-forming of Flossie. (Look for the darker colors expanding.)
    I don't see it reforming. Where is the circular motion? Where is the eye?

    I think there's another way of interpreting the change in colors. Color is temp. Not windspeed.

  14. #214

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by LikaNui View Post
    Look at that link again, as it also shows the dark red re-forming, as I just said in my reply above this one.
    Wasn't there a hurricane that hit Florida, rebuilt in the Gulf of Mexico, and turned around to hit Florida again?

    Oh, and I wouldn't say disappointment, but some posts do seem to be sounding like they wanted to see more rain or winds. I wouldn't blame them especially when you went through all the hard work of prepping. But I think these same folks are happy it was a dud than a bomb.

  15. #215

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    I will say this: the most eerie part of the Flossie experience has been the complete and utter lack of breeze for three days' straight. It is never this still, never. Ever ever. I've been on the Kona side many times where it is still like this, and the sensation always freaks me a little. But in my neck of the woods, nope. We always get breeze. I look up in the forest and always see movement and for the last three days, none! Very weird to me.

    I have lived through many tropical wind storms, but never, in my entire life, have I seen a hurricane, eye and all, traverse my isle.

    Gotta be Pele who pushed Flossie off!

    pax

  16. #216

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by Palolo Joe View Post
    You, a newcomer to the islands, suggest we start a thread to mock the threat this hurricane poses to us.

    While you're on the Big Island, no less.

    No respect.
    Nah...just makin light of a situation that was scary, but now hopefully isn't.

    Having an earthquake the night before didn't help things seem any less threatening.

    I've been thru hurricanes in my life....they're no joke. Hawaii isn't the only place that gets these kinds of storms, and I have plenty respect for the islands, and am quite aware of the danger these kinds of storms impose to the people here.

    It was definitely good to see everyone get so prepared, so much ahead of time. It was just odd to see such a panic going on with people buying water and stuff while there was no evidence of any sort to indicate that this storm would be threatening. It was just another partly rainy day in Hilo.

    In the hurricanes I've been in, there is usually some sort of precursor bad weather leading up to the storm, but because of this being an island surrounded by ocean, I guess storms can just swoop in with no evidence or former path of destruction.

    The hurricanes I've experienced on the east coast, work their way up the coast, and hit other places first (unless you live in Florida, then it's similar to here). Here, that's not an option due to it being just a chain of small islands, so I guess when the weather says "hurricane" you just have to batten down,wait it out, and hope it changes course.( or, as some have suggested, get beat down by pele)

    It was a good learning experience for sure.
    Last edited by tikiyaki; August 15th, 2007 at 09:08 AM.

  17. #217
    Join Date
    May 2004
    Location
    Smokin' in da windward crib
    Posts
    6,721

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by GeckoGeek View Post
    I don't see it reforming. Where is the circular motion? Where is the eye?
    Okay, it's the beginning of a possible re-forming. Definitely worth keeping an eye on those two links.

    I think there's another way of interpreting the change in colors. Color is temp. Not windspeed.
    Of course.
    Q: And warmer temps are the foundation of... ?
    A: Hurricanes.
    .
    .

    That's my story, and I'm sticking to it.

  18. #218

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by Pua'i Mana'o View Post
    I will say this: the most eerie part of the Flossie experience has been the complete and utter lack of breeze for three days' straight. It is never this still, never. Ever ever. I've been on the Kona side many times where it is still like this, and the sensation always freaks me a little. But in my neck of the woods, nope. We always get breeze. I look up in the forest and always see movement and for the last three days, none! Very weird to me.

    I have lived through many tropical wind storms, but never, in my entire life, have I seen a hurricane, eye and all, traverse my isle.

    Gotta be Pele who pushed Flossie off!
    That eeriness is what Cali folks refer to as "earthquake weather"

    Ma Nature made good on that one tho'.

    But, yea, the total lack of wind over here in Hilo was WEEIIRD. That's what made me say "WHAT frikken hurricane ?" . Like I said in the above post, it's hard to believe there is any hurricane coming in a few hours when there is NO wind at all. Very strange.

  19. #219
    Join Date
    Dec 2004
    Location
    Honolulu, Hawai'i
    Posts
    9,519

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by Pua'i Mana'o View Post
    Gotta be Pele who pushed Flossie off!
    I'm glad it's ova. And I Blogged it!
    http://www.auntiepupule.com/blog/index.php?id=1144

    Auntie Lynn
    Be AKAMAI ~ KOKUA Hawai`i!
    Philippians 4:13 --- I can do all things through Christ who strengthens me.

  20. #220

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by LikaNui View Post
    Q: And warmer temps are the foundation of... ?
    A: Hurricanes.
    Warmer ocean temps, yes. But frankly I don't know what that IR picture represents. From the detail, I think the feature you're looking at is the temp of the clouds. Warmer clouds suggest weakening since hurricanes get their power from warm water and cold air. For all I know that's Flossie puking her guts out as she dies.

    What's really needed here is a meteorologist who can explain what's going on. This isn't a simple "red is bad" picture.

  21. #221

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by joshuatree View Post
    Wasn't there a hurricane that hit Florida, rebuilt in the Gulf of Mexico, and turned around to hit Florida again?

    Oh, and I wouldn't say disappointment, but some posts do seem to be sounding like they wanted to see more rain or winds. I wouldn't blame them especially when you went through all the hard work of prepping. But I think these same folks are happy it was a dud than a bomb.
    I think you're thinking of Ivan, it came up the Gulf, hit the edge of the panhandle of Florida...went way up inland to Virginia, then came back down the coast (still inland a bit)...through the panhandle again then crossed over to Louisianna near Texas.

    Jeanne was crazy loopy too, but all that was out to sea for the most part.

    If Flossie stays on the predicted path it probably will just continuing breaking apart...however if it starts heading further south, there's a area that looks to be wanting to start spinning (look at the sat animation)...that 'could' kick it up again. Whether it'd loop up again to aim for the Kauai/Oahu section or continue out to sea would be dependent on that west to east flow strength showing in the animation.

    http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/tpac/loop-vis.html

  22. #222
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Location
    Kihei -currently away at school in NY
    Posts
    734

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by Peshkwe View Post
    I think you're thinking of Ivan, it came up the Gulf, hit the edge of the panhandle of Florida...went way up inland to Virginia, then came back down the coast (still inland a bit)...through the panhandle again then crossed over to Louisianna near Texas.

    Jeanne was crazy loopy too, but all that was out to sea for the most part.

    If Flossie stays on the predicted path it probably will just continuing breaking apart...however if it starts heading further south, there's a area that looks to be wanting to start spinning (look at the sat animation)...that 'could' kick it up again. Whether it'd loop up again to aim for the Kauai/Oahu section or continue out to sea would be dependent on that west to east flow strength showing in the animation.

    http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/tpac/loop-vis.html
    Yup - actually I believe both Ivan and Jeanne did that. My family lives at ground zero for all of those. Can't remember which one - Ivan or Jeanne. But one was downgraded to a tropical storm before it turned around. Did more damage than the actual hurricanes. Three years later and people still have blue tarp roofs from that.

  23. #223

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    I'm glad it seems to be going away, but I'll admit I'd like to have seen some nice steady drenching rain to refill reservoirs, alleviate drought conditions, and help put out that fire in Waialua or wherever.

  24. #224

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by acousticlady View Post
    Yup - actually I believe both Ivan and Jeanne did that. My family lives at ground zero for all of those. Can't remember which one - Ivan or Jeanne. But one was downgraded to a tropical storm before it turned around. Did more damage than the actual hurricanes. Three years later and people still have blue tarp roofs from that.
    Me too. I'm keeping an eye on Dean right now, Katrina knocked a tree top into my brother-in-law's roof as it passed through south Florida. My step daughter lives on Roanoak Island North Carolina, another hurricane prone area.

  25. #225

    Default Re: Hurricane Flossie

    Quote Originally Posted by Pua'i Mana'o View Post
    Gotta be Pele who pushed Flossie off!
    ...with help from...
    Quote Originally Posted by Pua'i Mana'o View Post
    ::::::brazen stare towards the SE:::::::

Page 9 of 10 FirstFirst ... 78910 LastLast

Tags for this Thread

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •